Sikkim standoff: China’s border debate with 18 countries leaves it helpless, India could be David to this Goliath

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If India and China have a war, the most pointless part is to ask “who will win”. Nobody can win a war of such magnitude these days and it does not matter who has more guns or ships or planes. The fact is that the spoils of a war would be impossible to bear and the taking care in the absurd scenario of a defeat of one by the other of a billion prisoners would destroy the victor in double quick time.


Thusly, while there might be encounters at the fringe and a lot of needling even with setbacks the showdown in case remains equivalent and India even has the edge. There is no hard and fast situation so it is an articulate exercise in futility to talk about it like it was a soccer coordinate. My-daddy-is-greater than-your-daddy is not on the cards.


As a nation, we do have issues yet there is a cheery state of mind and Indian military’s spirit is never again that of 1962. China is very much aware that Indian troops are all around equipped and all around situated. By that measure China’s own particular military is awkward and right now essential to the issues being confronted by the nation all in all, foremost among them a dread of losing the worldwide market that it overwhelms in impersonation, making Taiwan a pale contender.


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Truth be told, more than the firearms and boats, it is the wounding of the main issue that is India’s enormous weapon and with China now confronting huge defilement, a gigantic maturing populace and question on the outskirts with 18 countries, it is got something other than an Achilles heel. The feeble spots extend from Japan over the Senkaku and Ryukyu islands, Vietnam over the Sprat islands and parts of the archipelagos in the South China ocean, North Korea over Jiando and The Philippines over Scarborough Shoal. Other than it is additionally angry with Malaysia and Brunei over the Sprat islands, with Tajikistan and Mongolia in all and Cambodia as a verifiable basic piece of China.


That gives us a thought of the anxiety Beijing feels on its discretionary front. Presently, we should not be innocent. China still can possibly experience the expressions of Napoleon: let her rest for she is a mythical serpent and in the event that she wakes her thunder will shake the world. Be that as it may, this would have been a considerable measure less demanding in some other time and space.


Still not on the cutting edge of technology and behind on its cyber space capacity, China is as vulnerable to cyber hacking and jamming as anyone else if not more because of its size. Beneath the bravado is a certain tangible concern about its size being its weakness in an economic war. Remember David and Goliath, well India has a lot more than the slingshot of 55 years ago.


In 2015 the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC) issued a rather telling research paper. To quote: “The authors divide Chinese military’s weaknesses into two broad categories: institutional and combat capabilities. Institutional problems arise from rampant corruption, outdated command structures, the quality of personnel, and lack of professionalism. The weakness in combat capabilities is due to “an incomplete military transformation,” which produced logistical weaknesses, insufficient strategic airlift capabilities, limited numbers of special-mission aircraft, and deficiencies in naval air defense and antisubmarine warfare.


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The paper also lists shortcomings in other domains such as space and cyberspace. In addition, China’s defense industry is also allegedly suffering from widespread corruption and is in the middle of a “transition from central planning to a more market-oriented system.”


If we use these sentiments as the background for the current media hype in China, we notice the fissures. Calling on the country to unite against India, hectoring the soldiers to be professional and chiding the nation to be of one mind the influential Global Times said, “We call on Chinese society to maintain high-level unity on the issue. The more unified the Chinese people are, the more sufficient conditions the professionals will have to fight against India and safeguard our interests. This time, we must teach New Delhi a bitter lesson.” Notice that India has no need to summon its people with a clarion call.


They are already there. In between the lines and again, without downplaying the Chinese might, reflected in the media exhortation there is a reluctant civil and military society that would rather attack the plagues of unemployment, water shortage and a threat to the economy with a possible fresh devaluation than pick up arms against India for a tract of land and nothing at the end of the massive blood sacrifice.


Thus, we should get over that 1962 hang up that China continues alluding to on the grounds that that was a political war and gravely took care of. That won’t occur once more. Beijing is very much aware of that. This time, regardless of whether in short blasts or over a long stretch, it will be armed force versus armed force and the Chinese are untried and not fight immunized. Thus, while there is no compelling reason to oversell ourselves there is no motivation to be that mindful of the winged serpent’s breath. Puff and it could leave… into the harvest time fog.

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